Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 101.239152 112.271560 123.507781 135.778424 148.772393 162.094768 176.758276
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 83.734494 99.736288 116.713617 135.948653 157.021281 179.297612 204.519828
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 71.996471 90.630062 111.019848 134.745300 161.360728 190.083013 223.210982
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 64.782138 85.523303 108.819064 136.522939 168.192041 202.918881 243.538563
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 59.292772 81.732558 107.529868 138.794386 175.108844 215.462271 263.207754
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 52.811478 76.162459 103.657954 137.617938 177.685384 222.782587 276.724413
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 46.342433 70.068987 98.703649 134.748275 177.932783 227.141240 286.611832
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 44.149759 69.125073 99.811723 138.963732 186.375934 240.861684 307.173942
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 41.651619 67.571268 99.996364 141.919498 193.217531 252.650009 325.466706
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 37.559543 63.619916 96.931205 140.676173 194.849008 258.196482 336.396352
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 33.875044 59.950172 94.006052 139.414648 196.299109 263.404654 346.831315
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 31.419345 57.804032 92.917410 140.348159 200.343860 271.638411 360.790305
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 28.907142 55.443699 91.467509 140.787733 203.793737 279.220387 374.091533
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 26.811351 53.545201 90.532477 141.814925 207.929431 287.613766 388.372609
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 24.093139 50.509110 87.885391 140.469094 208.971466 292.165134 397.986948
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 22.638394 49.304642 87.695324 142.307272 214.008780 301.580512 413.457927
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 21.448614 48.429001 87.905620 144.635403 219.646136 311.726037 429.822658
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 19.309546 45.854663 85.569236 143.428911 220.658767 316.101533 439.140075
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 16.878325 42.582293 82.058991 140.484900 219.307019 317.452260 444.696616
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 16.548184 42.892773 83.821548 144.809323 227.462699 330.705968 464.880469
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 15.909909 42.609982 84.666645 147.840730 233.915585 341.832540 482.472000
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 14.271413 40.393285 82.492411 146.565662 234.622119 345.682746 491.063473
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 12.763256 38.273946 80.364100 145.271817 235.239449 349.374554 499.427590